Service Plays Sunday 5/16/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
In the poster agreement that all posters agree to when signing up, posters have agreed to NOT post copyrighted information.
Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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****Please note we can post Picks ONLY for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 859-371 (.698)
ATS: 658-609 (.519)
ATS Vary Units: 1564-1463 (.517)
Over/Under: 630-645 (.494)
Over/Under Vary Units: 819-844 (.492)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, Finals
Game 1, best-of-7 series
ORLANDO 101, Boston 90

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 443-301 (.595)

Western Conference Playoffs, Finals
Game 1, best-of-7 series
Chicago vs. SAN JOSE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Eastern Conference Playoffs, Finals
Game 1, best-of-7 series
PHILADELPHIA 3, Montreal 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Conference Finals Odds and Picks

NBA Western Conference final series odds and pick
By ASHTON GREWAL

Los Angeles Lakers (-335) vs. Phoenix Suns (+293)

There’s no question who the sentimental favorite is in this one. There aren’t two more likeable guys in the league than Steve Nash and Grant Hill and you’ve got to figure that this is the last chance either will get at a championship ring.

But for Nash and Hill to get a shot to hoist the Larry O’Brien trophy, they’ll have to get by the defending champs.

What the Suns have going for them

I picked the Spurs to win last round but I think I underestimated the best thing the Suns’ biggest asset: chemistry. Nash has played on some ridiculously talented teams but he’s said repeatedly said that this is the best group of guys he’s played with.

The Suns are also oozing with confidence after sweeping the Spurs. It proved to all the critics that Phoenix is not the same cute, but one-dimensional squad.

What the Lakers have going for them

Kobe Bryant. The Lakers’ superstar had his way with the Jazz and has scored 30 or more points in five straight playoff games. The Suns don’t matchup well against the Lakers – particularly with Kobe.

Phoenix will probably put Hill and Jared Dudley on No. 24 for most of the series, but there’ll be times when Jason Richardson will have to guard Bryant and that’s a scary scenario for Los Suns backers.

And don’t forget the Lakers have owned the Suns in recent years, winning and covering in six of their last eight meetings.

X-factors

Suns: Channing Frye is the best weapon the Suns have against the Lakers’ starting big man duo. Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum won’t be able to eat up Amare Stoudemire’s space in the paint if Frye is locked in from beyond the arc.

Lakers: Phoenix will only go as far as Nash will take them and it'll be up to Derek Fisher to limit the one-eyed monster. That’s no small feat for a player who has trouble staying in front of some of the lower-tier point guards. But Fish is smart and knows how to get underneath an opponent’s skin.

Prediction

Like I said, it’d be a great story if Phoenix won. It would undo some of the past hard luck the Suns have been dealt in the postseason. Unfortunately, the best story rarely pans out in the Association. The Lakers are a far superior team and they’ll prove it early.

Pick: Lakers in five


NBA Eastern Conference finals preview and pick
By LARRY JOSEPHSON

Orlando Magic (-275) vs. Boston Celtics (+244)

Anybody mind if we interrupt the constant yammering about LeBron James and his impending free agency to remind everyone that the world hasn’t ended and that we will actually have an Eastern Conference championship series and that it actually will start in a few days and that the Orlando Magic and Boston Celtics are actually pretty good?

The Magic no doubt are as stunned as anybody else outside the 02114 area code that they’ll be taking on the Celtics, starting Sunday, in the East finals. The teams met in the second round a year ago when the Magic bested the C’s in a seven-game series on their way to The Finals. And while many of the same characters have remained the same, there are also significant differences.

How the Magic have remained the same

Orlando is still an inside-out team that can beat you by 25 if its outside shots are dropping and lose to a mediocre opponent if they aren’t. Last season the Magic took advantage of the absence of injured Kevin Garnett, sent Rashard Lewis to the corner and chuckled as Glen Davis, more comfortable in the paint defensively, struggled to close on him.

Lewis was Orlando’s most consistent offensive player, raining 3-pointers on the Celtics for seven games. He averaged 20.5 points a game in the series, scoring no fewer than 17 in any game.

Dwight Howard remains every bit the defensive force he was last season but appears to be whining less about not getting the ball enough on the offensive end.

How the Magic have changed

So far so good on the Vince Carter deal. With Jameer Nelson, who missed the Celtics series last year due to injury, back at full speed and Carter on board, the backcourt gives the Celtics different concerns this time around. Both players can go off at any time – the inconsistent play of Courtney Lee, Rafer Alston and Hedo Turkoglu actually allowed the Celtics to keep the series alive last season.

Orlando won’t have an advantage over Celtics starters Rajon Rondo and Ray Allen, but they won’t be as overmatched as Cleveland backcourt was. Matt Barnes has been a nice addition and has wormed his way into the rotation.

How the Celtics have remained the same

Dwight Howard has called Kendrick Perkins the best low-post defender in the league, and if Perkins can stay out of foul trouble (no easy feat), it make life much easier on the Boston front line. Orlando likes to get Howard the ball early and often in the first period, and that won’t change.

The Celtics were somehow able to get past Cleveland despite a subpar performance from Paul Pierce, but that was partly because Rondo’s emergence. Allen’s 3-point shooting has been streaky – if he’s on, the defense is stretched, opening up things for Pierce to slash.

How the Celtics have changed

Magic fans might not recognize Garnett, who was hobbling around the last time the teams played in Orlando. Lewis drove by an immobile Garnett for the winning hoop way back on Jan. 28, but Garnett’s knee is greatly improved. Last season Lewis abused Davis, but a rejuvenated Garnett is able close on Lewis’ perimeter game faster than Davis could.

And then there is the matter of Rondo, who will most likely be a constant visitor in Mike Brown’s dreams for the next two or three decades. If Rondo is a reasonable duplicate of the player who dominated Cleveland’s backcourt, Nelson is in for an interesting next couple of weeks.

The overall matchup

Any team that wins eight consecutive playoff games, like Orlando has done in swatting away the Bobcats and the Hawks by an average winning margin of 17.5 points, should be oozing with confidence. And the Magic certainly don’t lack swagger.

But if the Magic think that the Celtics are going to wet their pants the way the Hawks did against Orlando, well, it just ain’t going to happen.

Boston was one of the best road teams in the league (better on the road than at home, actually) and the Celtics’ starting five has never lost a playoff series. Boston’s veterans, who struggled all season when they appeared worn out by travel, nagging injuries and back-to-back sets, appear energized again as they take advantage of days off between games and longer TV time-outs.

Look hard at the under

Five of the seven games in the Eastern semis last season went under, and low over/under totals are expected again this season, perhaps in the 187-188 range for Games 1 and 2. Miami and Cleveland both attacked the Celtics the same way, slowly down the ball and insuring that their superstars (James and Dwyane Wade) had the ball in their hands on every offensive set, hoping to force the Celtics defense to work for large portions of the 24-second clock.

Working in favor of the under is the increased playing time given to Boston defender Tony Allen. When he’s on the court, games can resemble an Ohio State football game from the 1980s.

Prediction

Assuming it goes 7, this series will be played out over 15 days, with the only 3-day break coming between Games 2 and 3 as the series shifts to Boston.

Rashard Lewis, who as mentioned earlier was the x-factor in last year’s series, is not playing great basketball. If he isn’t knocking down corner 3-balls, then KG can cheat down low in the paint.

Liking a slow start in Game 1 for Boston, then agita for Stan Van Gundy from that point on as Boston wins in 7.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA DUNKEL

Boston at Orlando
The Magic look to build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games as a playoff favorite. Orlando is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Magic favored by 17 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MAY 16

Game 503-504: Boston at Orlando (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 119.277; Orlando 136.861
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 17 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 6; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-6); Under

 

[ugk]

PICK 'N' ROLL
Sunday's Best NBA Bet

Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic (-6, 189.5)

Paul Pierce is the closer and Rajon Rondo is the best player, but Kevin Garnett is the Celtics’ most important player. Just look what the difference a rested and relatively healthy KG makes for the C’s.

The Magic bounced the Celtics in the second round of the playoffs a year ago but that was with Garnett sitting on the sidelines.

The Big Ticket is active and playing at his highest level this year. He’s averaging 17.6 points and 8.3 rebounds per game in the postseason compared to more modest averages of 14.3 and 7.3 during the regular campaign.

"Obviously, he's back now. If you watched him in the playoffs, he's back," coach Stan Van Gundy told the Orlando Sentinel.

It’ll be Rashard Lewis’ job to try and slow down Garnett for the Magic. The sweet-shooting forward isn’t known for his defense, particularly in the post where Garnett abused Cavs forward Antawn Jamison last round.

This series should be a competitive one and the game-to-game total result should be connected to the winner of the Lewis-KG battle. If Garnett is getting post touches and making hoops on the low block, the pace should be slower for Boston’s attack. If Lewis is running and getting open looks from beyond the arc, that means Orlando is pushing its offense.

Expect KG to win the battle in Game 1.

Pick: Under

 

[ugk]

ICE PICKS

Sunday's Best NHL Bet

Chicago Blackhawks at San Jose Sharks (-124, 5.5)

These two teams come in with a completely different playoff history over the last half decade. The Sharks have been among the elite in the regular season but have routinely disappointed in the postseason.

The Blackhawks, on the other hand, are playing in their second straight West final with a budding young nucleus.

So while Joe Thornton and Patrick Marleau battle the ghosts of playoff past, Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane are overflowing with confidence. Bettors shouldn’t expect any type of playoff jitters from Chicago in Game 1.

Goaltending isn’t a team strength but Chicago possesses enough offensive firepower to carry over any rough patches Antti Niemi might have.

Pick: Over

 

[ugk]

HOT LINES

Sunday's Best MLB Bets

New York Mets at Florida Marlins (-200, 8.5)

After coming up with only eight hits and three runs in the first two games of the series against Florida, the Mets are altering their lineup…again.
Twenty games ago manager Jerry Manuel moved Jose Reyes from the leadoff spot to No. 3 in the batting order. He also dropped David Wright behind Jason Bay so his slugger could see more fastballs.

The lineup changes didn’t spark the offense and New York has scored double-digit runs only once this year.

On Saturday, Manuel moved Reyes back to the leadoff spot and Angel Pagan to the three-hole. Bay remained batting cleanup but Manuel hinted that he could be dropped from that position if he continues to struggle (1 HR, .265 average) while catcher Rod Barajas could be moved from the No. 8 spot to "a more prominent spot" in the order.

Mets’ hitters have to be pressing right now and the comfort of not knowing where you will be on the scorecard every night isn’t there.

Jonathon Niese has held opposing lineups to one run or less in three of his last five starts. The Mets righty last faced Florida on April 8 and surrendered three runs in a 3-1 loss.

Marlins starter Ricky Nolasco gave up three earned runs in his last start against the Mets on April 7 and should be able to keep New York’s hitters off-balance again Sunday.

Pick: Under


Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies (-145, 9.5)

Colorado pitchers have been injury-plagued this season, but the team returned starter Jason Hammel on Saturday and get another rotation member back Sunday.

Jeff Francis will be making his first start since Sept. 12, 2008 after missing all of last season coming off shoulder surgery. The southpaw won 17 games in 2007 for this Rockies club and expects to return to form immediately.

"It's not going to feel real until I actually step onto the mound," Francis said. "And once that happens, I expect to pitch well, go deep into the game and help the team win."

Francis was scheduled to make his return debut on April 6 of this season but a sore left armpit just four days before that start shelved him for more than a month.

Despite what his intentions are, Francis will likely be on a tight pitch count in his first game back.

Scott Olsen hasn’t given up more than two earned runs in his last four starts and the Nats went 3-1 in those outings.

Washington has been stroking the ball well and undervalued by oddsmakers as of late. The club is 7-3 in its last 10 outings (+6.70 units) with every win coming as an underdog.

Pick: Washington Nationals

 

[ugk]

NY PLAYERS CLUB
3* Orlando Magic -6.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher POD 5/16
Play of the Day:

Colorado Rockies -140 over the Washington Nats

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

papayagang pick of the day 5-16

Atlanta braves ML
Chicago Cubs ML
Detroit tigers ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL NEWS AND NOTES
WHAT BETTORS NEED TO KNOW
Blackhawks at Sharks
By JON KUIPERIJ


Chicago Blackhawks at San Jose Sharks (-125, 5.5)

The Sharks and Blackhawks will finally open the Western Conference final Sunday afternoon in a showdown series between the conference's top two seeds.

Top-ranked San Jose hasn't played in more than a week after dumping the Red Wings in five games last round. The Blackhawks enter the Western final with five days of rest, following a 4-2 series victory over the Canucks in Round 2.

Chicago got the better of the Sharks during the regular season, taking three of four meetings. The Blackhawks blasted San Jose 7-2 on Nov. 25, but the other three contests were decided by one goal - two of those games needed overtime to decide.

Over the hump?

The Sharks appear on the verge of putting their past playoff failures behind them.

Despite finishing first or second in the Pacific Division each of the past six seasons, this is only San Jose's second trip to the Western finals.

“They’re playing the same way they did all year,” Blackhawks coach Joel Quenneville said.

“They had some disappointments in the playoffs the last few years, but they’ve met that challenge. They beat a very good team in Detroit; you have to do a lot of good things to get by them."

Chicago is seeking its first trip to the Cup final since 1992.

New Niemi territory

Sunday's game will be Chicago goalie Antti Niemi's first ever at HP Pavilion Arena after Christobal Huet started all four regular-season games against the Sharks.

Niemi hasn't had a chance to practice at the rink either because of concerts and the afternoon start time of Sunday's contest.

"First games are different because you don't know their place as well," Niemi told the media.

It might not matter. Niemi has posted a 2.57 goals-against average and .909 save percentage so far in the playoffs.

No ordinary Joes

The emergence of one Joe and the resurgence of another has the Sharks' offense clicking these days.

Joe Pavelski has been one of the big individual surprises of the postseason, leading San Jose in scoring with nine goals and six assists in 11 playoff games. Meanwhile, Joe Thornton - feeling the heat after disappearing acts in past playoffs - is coming off an eight-point series against the Red Wings and has a six-game point streak.

"They said blow up this team, but look where we are," Thornton said after the series win over Detroit.

Toews not fazed

Playoff pressure doesn't bother young Chicago star Jonathan Toews.

The center, who recently turned 22, leads all scorers in the postseason with 20 points in 12 games. That gives him 33 points (13 goals, 20 assists) in 29 career playoff games, the best point-per-game ratio (1.14) in Blackhawks history.

He's also getting plenty of help. Teammates Patrick Kane and Patrick Sharp are also averaging better than a point per game, while Marian Hossa has 10 points in 12 games.

Special teams

The Blackhawks' penalty-killing was third in the regular season (85.3 percent) and is second in the playoffs (88.7). Chicago is also a threat to score while playing a man down, leading the league with 13 shorthanded goals during the regular season and adding three more in the playoffs. The Hawks' power play has operated at a 21.6 percent clip.

The Sharks' power play has been the worst of the four teams remaining in the playoffs with only a 19.3 success rate.

Trends

- The Blackhawks haven't enjoyed their recent trips to San Jose, going 4-11-3 in their last 18 games at the Shark Tank.

- The favorite is 15-4 in the past 19 meetings between these clubs.

- The over has cashed five of the last six times these teams have met, and is 5-1-2 in the last eight at San Jose.

- The Sharks are on over runs of 5-1 overall, 5-0 when coming off a win, 6-1 on three days' or more rest, and 8-1 on Sundays.

- The over is also 27-7-2 in Chicago's last 36 games following a win, 21-8-3 in their last 32 road games and 5-1-2 in their last eight overall.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Proffesional tipster 36-31-8 (1-3-1)

16.05.2010 Turkey Superlig Bursaspor - Besiktas Bursaspor 0,-0.5
16.05.2010 Turkey Superlig Fenerbahce - Trabzonspor Fenerbahce -1
16.05.2010 Spain Primera Malaga - Real Madrid Real -1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

"Bulgarian Paid service" 57-55 (1-1)


NO1 VALERENGA - AALESUND, win bet VALERENGA@ 1,88
NO1 MOLDE - HAUGESUND, win bet MOLDE @1,70
SR1 RAD BELGRADE - FK METALAC, win bet RAD @1,70
BUG Chernomorets CSKA Sofia, win bet Chernomorets @ 1,87

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RW Sports (26-26-4) (2-3-1)

spanish primera
barcelona - valladolid, valladolid +3, 1 unit, 1.84 @ bet internet
malaga - real madrid, malaga +1.75 (1.5, 2), 1 unit, 1.83 @ expekt
valencia - tenerife, under 3.25, 1 unit, 1.82 @ pinnacle

the following i'm playing as a parlay (due to suspicions/rumours that sporting will let racing win)
spanish primera: racing - sporting, racing to win
spanish segunda: numancia - rayo vallecano, draw
0.5 units, 4.19 @ pinnacle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sampicks (6-4) (0-1)

Turkey - Superlig - 18:00 GMT
Bursaspor - Besiktas take Bursaspor to win
Best odds: 1,83

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty ran out with Paddy O'Prado in the Preakness Saturday.

Sunday it's the Blackhawks. The deficit is 880 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo broke even on yesterday's across-the-board investment on Jackson Bend in the Preakness, but then was victimized with the Sawx by a walk-off walk that boosted the debt to 340 luzinskis.

Today, he's mounting a three-pronged attack on the deficit with Lewis, LeBlanc and Hamels. Ten units apiece on the Rangers, Padres and Phillies.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
446 - 324 run 58 %

Bonus Play Sun RED Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

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